Monday, February 25, 2008

New Rankings Posted

The new and improved rankings are finally here. There were many changes with regional championships won over the weekend, in addition to our new voting remember. Congratulations to all the teams who took home auto-bids to national this past weekend. And good luck to those who are going to attempt a run at regional championships this weekend.

Additionally, a new weekly poll has been added on the sidebar of the rankings for everyone to enjoy. Anyone who has any suggestions on the poll should send an email and they will be considered.

Any questions, comments or concerns can be emailed to indrankcom@gmail.com and someone will get back to you.
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Week 16: DI National Rankings

#1 – Lindenwood University (17-0-0)
Last Week: 1
Points: 105 (7)

#2 - University of California, Irvine (17-1-1)
Last Week: 3
Points: 90

#3 - University of Missouri-St. Louis (14-2-0)
Last Week: 2
Points: 87

#4 - Michigan State University (21-2-0)
Last Week: 4
Points: 87

#5 - SUNY Stony Brook (20-2-1)
Last Week: 5
Points: 86

#6 – SUNY Buffalo (20-3-0)
Last Week: 6
Points: 66

#7 - Long Beach State (14-2-2)
Last Week: 11
Points: 57

#8 - Eastern Michigan University (19-9-3)
Last Week: 10
Points: 42

#9 - University of Rhode Island (14-5-5)
Last Week: 13
Points: 35

#10 - Towson University (17-6-0)
Last Week: NR
Points: 32

#11 - University of Michigan (17-7-0)
Last Week: 8
Points: 27

#12– University of Florida (14-3-3)
Last Week: 9
Points: 22

#13- Rutgers University (18-6-0)
Last Week: NR
Points: 22

#14 - The Ohio State University (19-4-0)
Last Week: 7
Points: 21

#15 - University of North Texas (20-2-1)
Last Week: 14
Points: 19


Others Receiving Votes: Cal Poly SLO (12), Colorado State University (12), UC Davis (12), University of Missouri, Columbia (6)
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Week 16: DII National Rankings

#1 – Neumann College (19-0-0)
Last Week: 1
Points: 104 (6)

#2 - University of California, San Diego (17-1-0)
Last Week: 2
Points: 91 (1)

#3 – West Chester University (17-2-0)
Last Week: 3
Points: 89

#4 - Missouri State University (14-0-3)
Last Week: 4
Points: 86

#5 – California State University, San Bernardino (15-2-1)
Last Week: 6
Points: 63

#6 – Truman State University (13-4-2)
Last Week: 7
Points: 63

#7 – Cal Poly Pomona (15-2-2)
Last Week: 5
Points: 56

#8 - University of Louisiana at Lafayette (19-1-0)
Last Week: 8
Points: 55

#9 – Albany (12-5-2)
Last Week: 9
Points: 54

#10 - University of Maine (12-4-4)
Last Week: NR
Points: 36

#11 – Shippensburg University (13-6-1)
Last Week: 12
Points: 35

#12 - Saint Louis University (11-5-1)
Last Week: 15
Points: 33

#13 – Elon University (15-5-0)
Last Week: 10
Points: 22

#14 - Sam Houston State University (20-5-0)
Last Week: NR
Points: 22

#15 - Washington University (STL) (11-5-1)
Last Week: 13
Points: 22


Others Receiving Votes: Slippery Rock University (4), Grand Valley State (3), Southern Illinois - Carbondale (2)
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Week 16: DIII National Rankings

#1 – Broward Community College (15-2-2)
Last Week: 1
Points: 35 (7)

#2 – Oakland Community College (12-9-3)
Last Week: 3
Points: 20

#3 – St. Charles Community College (10-7-1)
Last Week: 2
Points: 19

#4 – Arapahoe County Community College (16-3-0)
Last Week: 4
Points: 14

#5 - Suffolk County Community College (12-9-2)
Last Week: 5
Points: 13


Others Receiving Votes: Nassau County CC (2), St. Louis CC - Meramec (2)
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Week 16: B National Rankings

#1 - State University of New York at Buffalo (16-0-3)
Last Week: 1
Points: 101 (5)

#2 – Lindenwood University – Gold (15-1-1)
Last Week: 3
Points: 100 (2)

#3 - Cal Poly San Luis Obispo Gold (15-1-1)
Last Week: 5
Points: 91

#4 – University of Central Florida (14-4-1)
Last Week: 6
Points: 70

#5 - University of Missouri - Columbia (12-2-3)
Last Week: 8
Points: 65

#6 - North Texas University (17-0-1)
Last Week: 5
Points: 63

#7 - Eastern Michigan (11-5-1)
Last Week: 15
Points: 62

#8 - University of Missouri - St. Louis (14-3-1)
Last Week: 7
Points: 60

#9 – University of Michigan (13-2-1)
Last Week: 2
Points: 50

#10 – Michigan State University (15-3-1)
Last Week: 4
Points: 45

#11 –Penn State University (14-3-2)
Last Week: 11
Points: 39

#12 –UC Santa Barbara Gold (10-3-3)
Last Week: 12
Points: 35

#13 - Lindenwood University Black (12-3-2)
Last Week: 13
Points: 34

#14 - Suffolk County CC (11-5-3)
Last Week: NR
Points: 12

#15 - Ohio State University (10-7-1)
Last Week: NR
Points: 6


Others Receiving Votes: Colorado State University (3), Towson University (2), St. Charles CC (2)
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The Rankings Explained

Since the conclusion of the season both founders set out to find the best solution to answer the age old question, “Who’s #1?” After much search, the answer was to use a mathematical formula to calculate the answer. Removing the human element from the voting would likely result in less biased rankings towards individual teams and regions.

The solution would be found in the ELO chess rating system. They system was created to rank chess players by another means that wins, losses and draws. The system uses a mathematical formula to reward each person for impressive feats and punish them for lesser impressive feats. Because chess and inline hockey are two different animals, the general equation had to be changed to allow for more hockeys related factors into the equation.

Using the FIFA Women’s World Rankings as a guideline (Elo Based), we managed to change the rankings to suit the nature of our sport. The rankings include the importance of the game, the outcome of the game, the expected result of the game, and the goal differential of the game when calculating a result. To better explain the way the rankings work I give you the following examples (all team start with a ranking of 1500):

Lindenwood University (1500) vs. UMSL (1500): If Lindenwood won the regular season game 4-3; they would be awarded 15 points for the victory and UMSL would be docked 15 points. However, if the game was won 12-2, Lindenwood would earn 39.38 points for the victory and UMSL would be docked 39.38 points. Additionally, the importance of the game could change, using the national title game as the example, with both teams having equal ratings Lindenwood would be awarded 52.5 points for a 6-3 win.

However, as you could assume, two teams having the same rating would be rare. Each teams point total carries over from one week to the next and from one season to the next. The following is a example of two teams with different point values and the different results it can produce.

Lindenwood University (1746.38) vs. Illinois State (1360.88): There are a few things that you can determine because of the vast difference in each teams rating (385.5). The first is that Lindenwood is expected to win the game. The second is that Illinois State winning the game would be a much bigger accomplishment that Lindenwood winning the game. The maximum points Lindenwood can earn from this game is 7.72, which would mean they won by at least 10 goals. However, on the flip side, if Illinois State was to win the game by at least 10 goals they could earn as many as 71.03 points. This is based on the projection that Lindenwood would win the match-up 90% of the time.

As the two examples show, there are a bunch of positives when using this system. For starters, once a team has achieved a high rating, it becomes difficult for them to increase it without playing a higher level of competition. This rewards regions that have more competitive teams. It also rewards teams who travel out of the region and win games against other higher rated teams. For example, last season, Towson and Army both played James Madison who would have had a higher rating that both visiting teams. In the games, Army and Towson both won handily and would have increased their ratings while negatively hurting James Madison. But, the hidden bonus is they now can bring those rating points back into their region. Those points then become spread out over the entire region as the season progresses and teams win and lose.

For the ratings system to work, each game has to have a certain amount of value attached to it. In the system we will be using five different levels to rate the importance of any give game. The first level is the lowest level of importance; it contains all pre-season exhibition games. The second level includes all regular-season regional games, as well as cross-divisional exhibition games. Level three includes all cross-regional games and invitational based tournaments, like WinterFest. The fourth level includes all regional playoff games and the fifth and final level includes all national playoff games.

NCRHA - News

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